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Table 3 Estimated cumulative probabilities of live birth and corresponding hazard ratios of failing at ART by discrete smoking patterns (EARTH study, N = 225 couples, 354 ART cycles)

From: Discrete survival model analysis of a couple’s smoking pattern and outcomes of assisted reproduction

  Number of Couples/Cycles Estimated cumulative probability of live birth, per 100 cyclesa Adjusted Hazard Ratio (95% CI)b P-Valueb
Female Smoking History     0.24
 Never Smoker 167/249 54.2 (45.8, 64.0) 1.00 (REF)  
 Ever Smoker 58/105 45.0 (32.8, 61.8) 1.30 (0.84, 2.02)  
Female Smoking Status     0.35
 Never Smoker 167/249 54.1 (45.7, 63.9) 1.00 (REF)  
 Former Smoker 51/93 46.9 (34.5, 63.9) 1.23 (0.79, 1.91)  
 Current Smoker 7/12 22.7 (5.6, 92.0) 2.43 (0.64, 9.39)  
Male Smoking History     0.93
 Never Smoker 154/235 54.0 (46.6, 68.4) 1.00 (REF)  
 Ever Smoker 71/119 53.2 (43.1, 65.7) 1.02 (0.64, 1.63)  
Male Smoking Status     0.75
 Never Smoker 154/235 54.3 (45.7, 64.6) 1.00 (REF)  
 Former Smoker 55/89 56.4 (44.6, 71.5) 0.94 (0.55, 1.61)  
 Current Smoker 16/30 46.7 (30.6, 72.7) 1.25 (0.69, 2.25)  
Couples Ever Smoking Status     0.59
 Female and Male Never Smokers 121/172 54.7 (45.7, 65.4) 1.00 (REF)  
 Female Never Smoker, Male Ever Smoker 46/77 50.7 (38.4, 67.0) 1.12 (0.69, 1.84)  
 Female Ever Smoker, Male Never Smoker 33/63 42.2 (28.7, 62.0) 1.43 (0.85, 2.41)  
 Female and Male Ever Smokers 25/42 47.5 (31.8, 70.8) 1.24 (0.62, 2.46)  
  1. All estimates were calculated from a discrete time Cox proportional Hazard models adjusting for female age (centered continuous) and BMI (continuous); induction protocol (categorical); female educational status (categorical); centered pack-years history (centered continuous) and partner’s smoking status (categorical)
  2. aEstimates of cumulative probability of not failing ART cycle are given for the average couple in our cohort (e.g. female age (34.8 years) and BMI (23.8 kg/m2); induction protocol (luteal agonist); female educational status (more than college); centered pack-years history (0.93 packs-years for women; 2.47 packs-years for men) and partner’s smoking status (never smoker)
  3. b P-Value is testing for any difference across categories of exposure